Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

[nohil-billy]

Here's the latest Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll showing McCain leading Obama 48% - 42%, and leading Hillary 45% - 44%.. Clinton also leads Obama in the Democratic Primary Poll 46% - 44%.

I thought I would post this as I'm seeing numbers on this site reminiscent of the MSM's 2004 exit polls.


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[Herb Schaffler]

As you've said, nohil-billy, the polls are all over the place.

[nohil-billy]

I made that statement tongue-in-cheek Herb. I know that these polls vary quite a bit but I hadn't heard anything like the numbers you were posting. I was getting the impression you were trying to influence people's opinions like the MSM does with their misleading exit polls.

[Herb Schaffler]

The latest Zogby poll now has Obama ahead in North Carolina by 8 and ahead in Indiana by 2.

[Lennox]

Well, ummmm, Zogby has "accuracy" problems when it comes to Obama:

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The survey of likely Democratic Party primary voters shows that in North Carolina, Obama leads with 48% support, compared to 40% for Clinton and 13% either undecided or preferring someone else. In Indiana, Obama is nursing a tiny lead of two points, winning 44% support, compared to 42% for Clinton and 15% unsure or wanting someone else.

See all those undecideds? The vast majority always end up voting for her when push comes to shove.

[WiseOne]

The latest Zogby poll now has Obama ahead in North Carolina by 8 and ahead in Indiana by 2.

Oh no. I know the polls are all over the place, but that still isn't good news. Well, the day is here for Indiana and North Carolina...so we'll see soon enough!

[Herb Schaffler]

Obama is increasing his lead in North Carolina, but it's still a tossup in Indiana according to the latest Zogby poll.

Zogby: Obama Expands Lead in N.C.; Indiana a Toss-up


Monday, May 5, 2008 11:39 PM

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UTICA, New York – On the strength of good polling numbers on the final day before the primary elections in Indiana and North Carolina, Barack Obama of Illinois holds a convincing lead in North Carolina, but the race is simply too close to call in Indiana, the latest Zogby two-day telephone tracking poll shows.
The pair of surveys of the Democratic presidential contests shows Obama with a significant 14-point lead in North Carolina, winning 51% support to Hillary Clinton’s 37%. Another 12% said they were either favoring someone else or were as yet undecided. In Indiana, the race is clear as mud, as Obama holds a statistically insignificant lead of two points, winning 45% support to Clinton’s 43% support, with 12% either undecided or favoring someone else.
The electorates in both states are divided significantly along racial lines, income, and age, the telephone survey shows.
The telephone surveys, conducted May 4-5, 2008, are the final of Zogby’s two-day daily tracking surveys. In North Carolina, 643 likely Democratic primary election voters were polled. In Indiana, 644 likely voting Democratic primary voters were surveyed. Both surveys carry a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points

I hope Obama wins North Carolina by 14 points or more and upsets Hillary in Indiana. That should cause the stampede of superdelegates to Obama and get this thing over with.

[nohil-billy]

I haven't seen the latest polls but I heard on FNC this morning that Hillary has a 37 point lead in West Virginia and a 27 point lead in Kentucky. Is Obama not campaigning there?

[Lennox]

I've heard she's expected to get up to eighty percent in WV today!!!??? She doesn't have such a big lead in KY, but it's still a substantial one.

She'll get owned in OR, though, despite them both bombarding the airwaves with ad after ad after ad on end, it seems.