| Conservatives don't like McCain, but I believe he is the most electable candidate the Republicans have this year. The public is war weary and if it weren't for Hillary splitting the Democratic Party, I believe McCain would lose as people see him as a third term for Bush and Bush is very unpopular now. He was booed when he threw out the first pitch over the weekend.
Lots of Democrats, for whatever reason, like McCain and with so much resentment among Hillary and Obama supporters, lots of Democrats will vote for McCain before they will unite and support whoever wins the Democrat nomination. The longer Hillary stays in, the more bitter each side will become and Hillary has said she plans to stay in through August.
I don't think she really has anything on Obama, if she did, she would bring it out now go get everything going her way now. I think she is going to use every excuse she can to tell the superdelegates why they should support her rather than Obama. If she pulls ahead in the popular vote, she will use that as an excuse. If she doesn't pull ahead in the popular vote, she will say the popular vote is unimportant. She will fall back on the claim she has won the most electoral votes, which I would hope the superdelegates would not fall for. What matters is how the Democratic candidates would do against McCain in the general election for those electoral votes. The most recent data that I've seen shows that Obama would do better in the electoral college against McCain than Hillary would. It doesn't matter if Hillary defeated Obama in New York and California, both Democrats would take both those states in a general election against McCain. Where Obama would do better than Hillary would be in carrying certain red states in the South, Midwest, and West that Hillary would not be able to carry. |