Obama Extends His Lead Over Hillary to 16%

[Herb Schaffler]

Poll: Obama's National Lead Over Clinton Grows


Monday, May 19, 2008 2:59 PM

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-- THE RACE: The presidential race for Democrats nationally
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THE NUMBERS
Barack Obama, 55 percent
Hillary Rodham Clinton, 39 percent
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OF INTEREST:
This is the largest lead Obama has had over his Democratic rival all year in the Gallup Poll, an advantage that has been growing gradually in recent days. Clinton's biggest lead was 20 percentage points, which she had in mid-January as the Democratic primaries were just beginning.
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The Gallup Poll was conducted from May 16-18 and involved telephone interviews with 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters. It has a margin of sampling error or plus or minus 3 percentage points. The survey is a tracking poll in which Gallup has interviewed at least 1,000 adults daily since the beginning of the year, and then uses the results from the three most recent days.
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COMPLETE RESULTS:

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[Herb Schaffler]

May 20, 2008
[LINK POSTED BY MEMBER] Only Members Can View This No Hillary For President Forum Link.
Posted: 01:40 PM ET

From [LINK POSTED BY MEMBER] Only Members Can View This No Hillary For President Forum Link.
Sen. Clinton was introduced by her husband at a campaign event in Louisville, Kentucky Monday.



(CNN) – A day after Sen. Hillary Clinton declared that the Democratic nomination fight was [LINK POSTED BY MEMBER] Only Members Can View This No Hillary For President Forum Link. polling data released Tuesday suggest Clinton is losing ground with key demographic groups that have powered her campaign so far.
Sen. Barack Obama’s [LINK POSTED BY MEMBER] Only Members Can View This No Hillary For President Forum Link. over Clinton in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters comes from even higher support among groups that have been supporting him throughout the primary race, and from newfound support among several groups that have backed Clinton.
Obama leads or ties Clinton among women, Easterners, whites, adults with no college education, and Hispanics, with the New York senator’s support now below 50 percent in each group, according to Gallup. Both are backed by 47 percent of white voters surveyed, and Obama is essentially tied with Clinton – 47 percent to 46 percent – among Democrats whose education level is a high school diploma or less.
Clinton’s advantage among women overall seems to have evaporated, with Obama now holding a lead within the survey’s three point margin of error, 49 percent to 46 percent. Hispanics favor Obama over Clinton by 7 percentage points, 51 percent to 44 percent. And Obama now leads among voters in Eastern states by 9 percentage points over Clinton – 52 percent to 43 percent.

Clinton’s standing with whites has fallen by five percentage points during the month of May. With Hispanics, Clinton has lost eight percentage points in the same time period. Clinton’s support with Easterners has fallen by seven percentage points and with women, Clinton has last four percentage points in May. Women age 50 or older is the only major demographic group where a majority, 52 percent, still support the New York senator.
Obama’s support among voters with postgraduate education, voters with monthly incomes of at least $5000, and men – has grown to the point that, he now leads Clinton by a margin of 2-to-1. Among voters 29 or younger, Obama leads Clinton by a margin of nearly 3-to-1.
Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. Gallup’s May 1-13 daily tracking poll results are based on a survey of 5,474 Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters. The May 1-13 survey results have a margin of error of plus or minus one percentage point.